Growth in the Wilshire 5000
As the stock market boomed in the 1990s, the Wilshire 5000 grew in size and reached its maximum membership on July 31, 1998 when 7,562 companies were included in the index. Thence, membership has shrunk, declining back to 5000 on December 29, 2005. Since then, the Wilshire 5000 has included less than 5000 companies. The Wilshire 5000 Full Cap Index calculates the value of all of the shares listed in the United States in billions of dollars. The index was at 28,552.5 on February 15, 2019 meaning that the value of all the common stocks listed in the United States was $28,552.5 billion. The index reached $30 trillion in September 2018 before the current sell off. The index has data going back to December 1970 when the total capitalization of the US Stock market was $830 billion, though this sank to a low of $550 billion in September 1974. GFD has used its own calculations of all the stocks listed in the United States to extend the Wilshire 5000 back to 1792. So to answer the question, how many stocks are in the Wilshire 5000? On June 30, 2018, there were 3,486 companies. This means that the number of companies that are included in the Wilshire 5000 has shrunk by 54% Since July 1998. Figure 1 illustrates the performance of the Wilshire 5000 since 1970. The index showed strong growth between 1975 and 1999, but slower growth since then.Large Caps vs. Small Caps
It is also instructive to compare the performance of the S&P 500 Total Return Index with the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, since both are total return indices. This comparison provides us with the best comparison of the performance of large cap and small cap stocks that is available. If the S&P 500 stocks (large caps) outperform the rest of the market, then the relative index rises, if the rest of the stocks (small caps) outperform, it falls. As Figure 2. Illustrates, the S&P 500 peaked relative to the rest of the market in 1975, declined until 1983, then began a stead rise relative to the rest of the market until 2001. Between 2001 and 2014, small caps outperformed the S&P 500, but during the past 5 years, the S&P 500 has been gaining strength relative to the rest of the market.The Wilshire/Russell 3000?
The number of stocks that are listed in the United States continues to decline. Because of the regulatory cost of listing on public exchanges, and the willingness of venture capitalists to invest in private companies, fewer and fewer companies are going public, and the number of publicly-traded companies is declining. The Russell 3000 may soon face the fate of the Wilshire 5000, being forced to include fewer companies than its name suggests. At some point in the near future, there may be fewer than 3000 companies listed in the United States and at that point, the Wilshire 5000 and the Russell 3000 will include the same number of companies. When that happens, we will let you know.Country | Begins | Ends | Companies | Max Market Cap | Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Argentina | 1865 | 1985 | 69 | 749.0 | 1929 |
Australia | 1825 | 1985 | 201 | 12,550.0 | 1981 |
Austria | 1856 | 1932 | 6 | 27.0 | 1906 |
Belgium | 1845 | 1985 | 8 | 21.0 | 1875 |
Bolivia | 1825 | 1985 | 8 | 100.0 | 1929 |
Brazil | 1825 | 1984 | 60 | 2,563.0 | 1984 |
Canada | 1825 | 1985 | 100 | 19,278.0 | 1976 |
Chile | 1852 | 1969 | 46 | 815.0 | 1929 |
China | 1882 | 1930 | 7 | 38.0 | 1925 |
Colombia | 1825 | 1962 | 21 | 33.0 | 1920 |
Costa Rica | 1886 | 1932 | 1 | 1.3 | 1890 |
Cuba | 1838 | 1961 | 23 | 135.0 | 1926 |
Denmark | 1853 | 1984 | 4 | 40.0 | 1937 |
Ecuador | 1924 | 1975 | 1 | 2.3 | 1944 |
Egypt | 1856 | 1969 | 23 | 918.0 | 1929 |
El Salvador | 1887 | 1985 | 4 | 5.4 | 1978 |
Ethiopia | 1908 | 1924 | 1 | 0.2 | 1920 |
France | 1801 | 1985 | 53 | 881.0 | 1890 |
Germany | 1835 | 1985 | 17 | 7,647.0 | 1985 |
Ghana | 1869 | 1985 | 21 | 175.0 | 1936 |
Greece | 1839 | 1930 | 3 | 15.0 | 1911 |
Guatemala | 1923 | 1963 | 2 | 10.0 | 1956 |
Guyana | 1845 | 1921 | 1 | 0.1 | 1895 |
Hong Kong | 1865 | 1985 | 6 | 272.0 | 1969 |
India | 1792 | 1985 | 156 | 530.0 | 1865 |
Indonesia | 1891 | 1981 | 40 | 157.0 | 1980 |
Ireland | 1792 | 1985 | 87 | 402.0 | 1877 |
Italy | 1848 | 1985 | 19 | 78.0 | 1927 |
Jamaica | 1907 | 1985 | 6 | 3.0 | 1967 |
Japan | 1907 | 1985 | 44 | 68.0 | 1913 |
Kenya | 1907 | 1970 | 7 | 31.0 | 1966 |
Malaysia | 1889 | 1985 | 212 | 3,373.0 | 1981 |
Mauritius | 1854 | 1915 | 5 | 2.0 | 1878 |
Mexico | 1824 | 1985 | 61 | 2,112.0 | 1989 |
Mozambique | 1895 | 1975 | 2 | 3.5 | 1928 |
Myanmar | 1890 | 1977 | 6 | 95.0 | 1937 |
Netherlands | 1845 | 1985 | 25 | 19,106.0 | 1985 |
New Zealand | 1862 | 1980 | 32 | 219.0 | 1974 |
Nicaragua | 1863 | 1891 | 2 | 3.3 | 1864 |
Nigeria | 1887 | 1976 | 34 | 53.0 | 1965 |
Paraguay | 1889 | 1965 | 3 | 10.0 | 1965 |
Peru | 1825 | 1975 | 13 | 317.0 | 1968 |
Philippines | 1889 | 1985 | 10 | 954.0 | 1980 |
Portugal | 1855 | 1981 | 8 | 13.0 | 1922 |
Romania | 1870 | 1940 | 3 | 10.0 | 1914 |
Russia | 1865 | 1932 | 22 | 80.0 | 1917 |
Singapore | 1895 | 1977 | 5 | 6.0 | 1969 |
South Africa | 1833 | 1985 | 379 | 54,785.0 | 1980 |
Spain | 1845 | 1985 | 21 | 90.0 | 1913 |
Sri Lanka | 1842 | 1984 | 57 | 151.0 | 1927 |
Sweden | 1853 | 1985 | 21 | 334.0 | 1929 |
Switzerland | 1872 | 1930 | 1 | 0.5 | 1928 |
Thailand | 1919 | 1970 | 2 | 11.5 | 1964 |
Trinidad | 1865 | 1985 | 8 | 741.0 | 1980 |
Turkey | 1856 | 1930 | 11 | 38.0 | 1929 |
United States | 1821 | 1985 | 198 | 4,584.0 | 1926 |
Uruguay | 1873 | 1971 | 10 | 30.0 | 1928 |
Venezuela | 1852 | 1971 | 15 | 305.0 | 1948 |
Zimbabwe | 1893 | 1985 | 43 | 108.0 | 1985 |
25 years ago: February 1994
S&P 500: 467.14 (vs. 2731.61 in 02/2019) 10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 6.15% (vs. 2.70% in 02/2019) Gold: $381.55 (vs. $1312.40 in 02/2019) Oil: $14.50 (vs. $53.94 in 02/2019) GBP/USD: 1.485 (vs. 1.2932 in 02/2019) US GDP: 7,013 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 09/2018) US Population: 260 million (vs. 328 million in 2019) 02/03/1994: The Mexican Peso crisis begins. 02/05/1994: Byron De La Beckwith is convicted of the 1963 murder of civil rights leader Medgar Evers. 02/06/1994: The Fed's decision to raise short-term interest rates for the first time in nearly five years pushes the Dow Jones Industrials more than 96 points lower. 02/12/1994: Four men break into the National Gallery of Norway and steal Edvard Munch's iconic painting The Scream.50 years ago: January 1969
S&P 500: 98.13 (vs. 2731.61 in 02/2019) 10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 6.26% (vs. 2.70% in 02/2019) Gold: $42.70 (vs. $1312.40 in 02/2019) Oil: $3.06 (vs. $53.94 in 02/2019) GBP/USD: 2.3918 (vs. 1.2932 in 02/2019) US GDP: 968 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 09/2018) US Population: 205 million (vs. 328 million in 2019) 02/10/1969: Heavy snow forced closings of NYSE and ASE, the first such weekday closing by Big Board in this century. Only other all-day closing was Saturday in January, 1948, due also to snow. 02/12/1969: Pittsburgh Stock Exchange members voted merger with Philadelphia-Baltimore-Washing Stock Exchange. 02/26/1969: Federal Reserve restated determination to tighten credit to cool economy.100 years ago: February 1919
S&P 500: 8.0471 (vs. 2731.61 in 02/2019) 10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 4.70% (vs. 2.70% in 02/2019) Gold: $20.67 (vs. $1312.40 in 02/2019) Oil: $4 (vs. $53.94 in 02/2019) GBP/USD: 4.7575 (vs. 1.2932 in 02/2019) US GDP: 84 billion (vs. 20,658 billion in 09/2018) US Population: 104 million (vs. 328 million in 2019) 02/05/1919: Charlie Chaplin, Mary Pickford, Douglas Fairbanks, and D.W. Griffith launch United Artists. 02/06/1919: General Strike at Seattle. Many strikes and much labor unrest. 02/14/1919: Polish Soviet War: The Polish army attacked Soviet forces occupying the town of Biaroza. 02/21/1919: German socialist Kurt Eisner is assassinated. His death results in the establishment of the Bavarian Soviet Republic and parliament and government fleeing Munich, Germany. 02/25/1919: Oregon places a one cent per U.S. gallon tax on gasoline, becoming the first U.S. state to levy a gasoline tax.200 years ago: February 1819
GFD US-100/S&P 500: 0.5752 (vs. 2731.61 in 02/2019) 10-year U.S. Government Bond Yield: 4.65% (vs. 2.70% in 02/2019) Gold: $19.39 (vs. $1312.40 in 02/2019) GBP/USD: 4.384 (vs. 1.2932 in 02/2019) US GDP: 726.677 million (vs. 20,658 billion in 12/2018) US Population: 9.379 million (vs. 328 million in 01/2019) 02/15/1819: Simon Bolivar Palacious became President of Colombia 02/17/1819: The United States House of Representatives passes the Missouri Compromise for the first time. 02/22/1819: Treaty concluded with Spain, ceding Florida to the United States.300 years ago: February 1719
UK Government Bond Yield: 4.10% (vs. 1.34% in 01/2019) UK GDP: £80 million (vs. £535 billion in 12/2018) UK Population: 6 million (vs. 66 million in 01/2019) 01/03/1719: Compagnie des Indes shares hit 475 Francs and will rise to 10,000 Francs on November 21, 1719 during the Mississippi Bubble. © 2019 Global Financial Data. Please feel free to redistribute this Events-in-Time Chronology and credit Global Financial Data as the source.Global Financial Data has added the UK-100 Index to its family of GFD Indices. The UK-100 index (GFUK100MPD) provides a DAILY index of stocks from the London Stock Exchange that begins in 1692 and ends in 1985. The index has a base of 12/31/1983 = 1000 so the index can be linked up to the FTSE-100 index and provide over 325 years of daily data on British stocks. With over 87,000 data points, the UK/FTSE-100 index provides more stock market history than any other index on the planet. The Index is available not only as a price index, but as a return as well. The GFD UK-100 Index provides an unparalleled history not only of the London Stock Exchange, but of the entire financial world. Hundreds of companies from around the world listed on the London Stock Exchange in the 1800s and 1900s as London funded the growth of the global economy. The FTSE-100 provides daily data back to 1984 and the FT-30 Industrials provides daily data back to 1935. The GFD UK-100; however, provides a daily, market-cap weighted index of British stocks that traded in London from 1692 to 2018 and includes over 87,000 data points to help analysts understand the performance of the stock market over the past 327 years. We have divided up the history of the London Stock Exchange into four eras: Monopolies (1692 to 1805), Free Trade (1806 to 1914), the Great Reversal (1914 to 1974) and Globalization (1975-). Each of these eras represented different attitudes of the government toward the stock market. This directly affected the performance of stocks, bonds and bills. We noted that the most significant change in the stock market occurred in 1914 when the government began its extensive intervention in the economy and the stock market which continues today. Between 1692 and 2018, stock prices increased at an average rate of 2.00% per annum before inflation and 0.50% after inflation, and with reinvested dividends averaging 4.63% per annum, investors received a total return of 6.72% per year. £1 invested in stocks in 1692 grew to £31.358 million in 2018 and with reinvested dividends grew to £1.817 billion assuming no taxes and full reinvestment. By contrast £1 invested in government bonds grew to £1.208 million between 1700 and 2018 and £1 invested in bills grew to £793,891 between 1694 and 2018. The equity risk premium over the past 327 years was 2.29%. Whereas most analysis of the dividend yield and equity-risk premium rely upon less than 100 years of data. The GFD UK-100 Index not only provides 327 years of data to calculate the risk premium, but provides information on how it changed over time. The best annual performance was 1975 when the market rose 127.69% and the worst was in 1974 when the market fell 50.61%. The GFD UK-100 also provides a detailed history of the 25 bear markets that have occurred in London over the past 327 years as well as how the market capitalization increased from under £1 million in 1692 to over £2.5 trillion at the beginning of 2018. The composition of the market has switched from being composed of three companies in the 1700s to one dominated by transport and finance companies in the 1800s to one in which no sector dominates the market today. London was the financial center of the world from 1692 until 1914 when the cost of fighting World War I forced London to cede the title to New York. London remains the center of Europe’s financial markets today which, despite the current battles over Brexit, it will likely maintain for the rest of the century. The GFD UK-100 index provides a unique record of London’s equity markets over the past 327 years. You can read the full article here.